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A book carefully studied by analyzing not only the distant future scenarios, but also the grim picture of the environment in the short term

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is difficult to concentrate in the future when things change so quickly before our eyes. The Arab spring and the crisis in the euro area to predict what tomorrow will be a little ridiculous, not to mention what will happen in 50 years.

The rapid pace of technological change does not make the job easier. In 1949, Popular Mechanics magazine boldly stated: "Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." Sixty years later we are at a weight in grams. Even those at the forefront of scientific revolutions can be left in ridiculous - in retrospect. The physicist of the 19th century and brilliant engineer Lord Kelvin was convinced that the radio and had not caught on.

Jon Turney

As recognized in the Rough Guide to the Future: "It is clear that the future remains radically unknown, and there is much we can do about it."

If a company is so vague, why waste time on him? The simple answer is that we can not do it. The strongest chapters deal carefully studied places as far away as Turney book not digitally encoded human life, transhumanism, immortality, and computational intelligence spreads throughout the cosmos - although these and many other optimistic predictions are covered - but statistical trends pointing constant short-term future of rapid population growth, climate crisis, water and food under increasing pressure and decreasing biodiversity.

In 2009, for example, the British Meteorological Office predicts an average warming of 4C, if current trends in carbon emissions continue. The report is almost certain to reach the end of the century, but possibly as early as 2060. The average increase in cache increases of up to 15C in the Arctic, and up to 10 º C in the western and southern Africa, which means 20% less rainfall in these regions. This rain will fall elsewhere. India will see 20% of rainfall and an increased risk of flooding.


Turney
widely cited these and many other dire predictions, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Printing is a perfect storm of population growth and climate change in our lives and our children.

The worst fears of Austin Williams, an architect and director of the Future Cities Project, is that "the philosophy of sustainability, to enhance the contemporary mantra, accusing that" humanity is a problem ". His best hope is that" the aspiration of humanity to matter (as well as social and political) Trump improving moderation. "

using current economic and political uncertainty as an excuse to take our eye of the future looks like a bad idea.
Winton Royal Society Prize for Science Books: A list

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