Barack Obama faces stark choices about US policy on Egypt | Simon Tisdall
If the President takes the second revolution in Egypt, the result could be revolutionary in how Washington might find disconcerting
The second phase of the revolution in Egypt, driven by a million people today in March to protest against the actions of the board of the military regime, Barack Obama is presented and legislators Western with a difficult choice he hopes Hosni Mubarak stopped was ousted in February, between democracy and stability. Can not get, at least not in the foreseeable future.
Egyptrelies heavily in the U.S. and countries like Britain, the former colonial power, as an ally and strategic partner at the crossroads between the Middle East and Africa. A positive result for the impulse of spring Arab reform and civil rights in the most populous country in the Arab world has created a powerful precedent and an example for the entire region.
Rather, the authoritarian military rooted, radical Islamic government de facto civil war in Syria and Libya, or a descent into chaos that threaten the security interests of Key West, the peace treaty with Israel, and the country's tradition of multi-confessionalism and religious tolerance - a significant decrease of the crisis in Iraq after 2003
gathers momentum behind the recent protests in Cairo and other cities and mountains of dead, Obama is facing strong pressure not to repeat its position clear last January and express their strong U.S. support, in essence, civilian-led reform. Its own bipartisan panel of advisors, the Working Group on Egypt, has led the way with an openly condemns the decision of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF).
"nearly 10 months since the beginning of the Egyptian revolution, Scaf has yet to take steps to establish a basic respect for human rights, civil and democratic government," said panel . "On the contrary, in many parts of Egypt is the witness of the prosecution or the return of the Mubarak era tactics of repression ...
"These risk investment policies of the leaders of Egypt conflicts with his people, again -. This result would be terrible for SU Egypt and the United States should support a clear a genuine democratic transition, there must be an end to military rule in Egypt, and use all the influence he has to promote this goal, including the placement of the conditions of future assistance to the Egyptian army . "
- Gingrich said he was particularly concerned about the violence against the Coptic Christian minority in Egypt. "Frankly, the degree to which the Arab spring can be a source of anti-Christian is something that bothers me," he said. These fears were expressed by the most elegant of New York City University Graduate Center Andre Aciman in opinion article. another Republican candidate, Herman Cain, said Obama risked delivery of Egypt on a plate for the largest Islamist group the Muslim Brotherhood. This "Who lost Egypt?" issue could affect Barack Obama in November.
- officials are not blind to the dangers. "If, over time, the most powerful political force in Egypt is still a room full of non-elected, planted the seeds of future instability, and the Egyptians have missed a historic opportunity," said Hillary Clinton this month. But, as in Egypt itself, there are disagreements on what to do his best.
William Hague, foreign minister of Great Britain, and foreign policy, Catherine Ashton, stressed the need to end violence and to move ahead with parliamentary elections this week next. But they are much more vague about how to implement a schedule of presidential elections and a credible transition to civilian rule.
American leverage is ultimately limited, too, but is nevertheless considerable. Obama must now make some very hard-line calculations, balance the interests of the United States against the likely consequences in the field. The Phantom of the Muslim Brotherhood take power, with or without hard line conservative Salafi at the end of Egypt's potential as a reliable partner pro-Western, and the implications of these developments for the security of Israel and the looming confrontation with Iran, are all factors that influence how Obama jumps.
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