Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Barack Obama faces stark choices about US policy on Egypt | Simon Tisdall

If the President takes the second revolution in Egypt, the result could be revolutionary in how Washington might find disconcerting

The second phase of the revolution in Egypt, driven by a million people today in March to protest against the actions of the board of the military regime, Barack Obama is presented and legislators Western with a difficult choice he hopes Hosni Mubarak stopped was ousted in February, between democracy and stability. Can not get, at least not in the foreseeable future.

Egypt

relies heavily in the U.S. and countries like Britain, the former colonial power, as an ally and strategic partner at the crossroads between the Middle East and Africa. A positive result for the impulse of spring Arab reform and civil rights in the most populous country in the Arab world has created a powerful precedent and an example for the entire region.

Rather, the authoritarian military rooted, radical Islamic government de facto civil war in Syria and Libya, or a descent into chaos that threaten the security interests of Key West, the peace treaty with Israel, and the country's tradition of multi-confessionalism and religious tolerance - a significant decrease of the crisis in Iraq after 2003

gathers momentum behind the recent protests in Cairo and other cities and mountains of dead, Obama is facing strong pressure not to repeat its position clear last January and express their strong U.S. support, in essence, civilian-led reform. Its own bipartisan panel of advisors, the Working Group on Egypt, has led the way with an openly condemns the decision of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF).

"nearly 10 months since the beginning of the Egyptian revolution, Scaf has yet to take steps to establish a basic respect for human rights, civil and democratic government," said panel . "On the contrary, in many parts of Egypt is the witness of the prosecution or the return of the Mubarak era tactics of repression ...

"These risk investment policies of the leaders of Egypt conflicts with his people, again -. This result would be terrible for SU Egypt and the United States should support a clear a genuine democratic transition, there must be an end to military rule in Egypt, and use all the influence he has to promote this goal, including the placement of the conditions of future assistance to the Egyptian army . "

William Taylor, head of the Department of State transitions in the Middle East, was quoted in foreign policy, saying that he believed the SCAF was willing to give the executive branch from as possible.

William Hague, foreign minister of Great Britain, and foreign policy, Catherine Ashton, stressed the need to end violence and to move ahead with parliamentary elections this week next. But they are much more vague about how to implement a schedule of presidential elections and a credible transition to civilian rule.

American leverage is ultimately limited, too, but is nevertheless considerable. Obama must now make some very hard-line calculations, balance the interests of the United States against the likely consequences in the field. The Phantom of the Muslim Brotherhood take power, with or without hard line conservative Salafi at the end of Egypt's potential as a reliable partner pro-Western, and the implications of these developments for the security of Israel and the looming confrontation with Iran, are all factors that influence how Obama jumps.


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